Bold truth: NFL picks ignite debate, and Week 14 proves it as Florio and Simms clash with fresh momentum and sharper takes. After a rocky start, Simms has crawled back into striking distance, narrowing a nine-game gap in just two weeks. Last week’s performance was strong for both: Simms went 12-4 while Florio finished 11-5. Year-to-date, Simms stands at 131-62-1 and Florio at 130-63-1, with the spread records showing Simms narrowing the margin but Florio still ahead 105-86-3 to 96-95-3.
This week, the duo diverges on five matchups. Here are their selections with context, so you can see where the trends and confidence lie.
Cowboys at Lions (Lions -3)
- The Cowboys are trending upward, while the Lions have hit a rough patch. There’s a sense that Dallas might ride momentum, while Detroit could feel the pressure.
- Florio’s call: Cowboys 27, Lions 24.
- Simms’s call: Cowboys 37, Lions 28.
Seahawks (-7) at Falcons
- Seattle appears focused and belongs in the upper tier of contenders, whereas Atlanta faces a tougher test and must protect against a slip.
- Florio’s call: Seahawks 31, Falcons 17.
- Simms’s call: Seahawks 27, Falcons 17.
Steelers at Ravens (-6)
- If Pittsburgh heaps extra bodies to stop the run, Baltimore’s offense could regain its rhythm through Lamar Jackson’s dynamic playmaking.
- Florio’s call: Ravens 18, Steelers 14.
- Simms’s call: Ravens 27, Steelers 14.
Bengals at Bills (-5.5)
- Cincinnati looks noticeably more dangerous with Joe Burrow healthy and orchestrating the offense.
- Florio’s call: Bengals 30, Bills 27.
- Simms’s call: Bills 28, Bengals 24.
Titans at Browns (-4.5)
- Shedeur Sanders grabs the spotlight in a close contest, with Myles Garrett heavily influencing the outcome on defense.
- Florio’s call: Browns 17, Titans 13.
- Simms’s call: Browns 16, Titans 9.
Colts (-1.5) at Jaguars
- Jacksonville is a formidable home underdog here, and Indianapolis needs a reset after a rough stretch, aiming to reverse recent history where they’ve struggled in this matchup.
- Florio’s call: Colts 23, Jaguars 20.
- Simms’s call: Jaguars 24, Colts 20.
Commanders at Vikings (-2.5)
- A high-stakes clash where the loser’s postseason chances feel increasingly bleak, while the winner still has a path forward.
- Florio’s call: Vikings 24, Commanders 21.
- Simms’s call: Commanders 23, Vikings 20.
Dolphins (-2.5) at Jets
- Miami continues to show enough growth to justify continued confidence in Mike McDaniel’s approach.
- Florio’s call: Dolphins 27, Jets 20.
- Simms’s call: Dolphins 20, Jets 17.
Saints at Buccaneers (-8.5)
- Tampa Bay cannot afford lapses against weaker opponents and must assert control on both sides of the ball.
- Florio’s call: Buccaneers 31, Saints 20.
- Simms’s call: Buccaneers 24, Saints 17.
Broncos (-7.5) at Raiders
- Denver must stop playing around and punch through with urgency.
- Florio’s call: Broncos 34, Raiders 17.
- Simms’s call: Broncos 20, Raiders 10.
Rams (-7.5) at Cardinals
- With bigger tests ahead, Los Angeles cannot afford a letdown against a team mired in struggles.
- Florio’s call: Rams 30, Cardinals 20.
- Simms’s call: Rams 31, Cardinals 21.
Bears at Packers (-6.5)
- This late-season showdown between long-time rivals carries extra weight and scrutiny.
- Florio’s call: Packers 24, Bears 23.
- Simms’s call: Bears 27, Packers 24.
Texans at Chiefs (-3.5)
- Defense remains a central theme, challenging champions and reigniting discussions about cyclical success.
- Florio’s call: Texans 17, Chiefs 14.
- Simms’s call: Texans 24, Chiefs 20.
Eagles (-3) at Chargers
- Philadelphia cannot afford further slips, especially with Dallas closing in the NFC East. Every possession matters.
- Florio’s call: Eagles 21, Chargers 20.
- Simms’s call: Chargers 21, Eagles 17.
Which picks align with your own analysis, and where do you see the most divergent opinions tipping the Week 14 outcomes? Share your thoughts in the comments and tell us which matchup you’d bet on and why.
